CMA Awards 2026
Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · Bridgestone Arena, Nashville · ABC · hosted by Lainey Wilson
Heure de diffusion à confirmer
All 12 categories, every nominee, and a win probability for each — computed from cross-platform streaming data, not from opinion. Cast your own ballot and see where the crowd disagrees with the algorithm.
Live coverage
Live coverage starts here on Wednesday, November 18, 2026
Red carpet, category-by-category reactions and live chart movement as winners are announced. The stream will be embedded on this page.
Most nominated
Across all 12 categories, collaborations included
How these predictions are built
Each probability comes from measured signals — artist audience on a logarithmic scale, the best RLI reached by the nominated work, its Crown+ score, its peak chart position, and how many weeks it has been tracked. Scores are turned into probabilities by a tempered softmax, so a favourite never reads as a certainty.
No language model writes these numbers. A model would produce a plausible-sounding guess about an event it was never trained on. Every figure here traces back to a row in our database.
Each category shows its data coverage. Where we only know two nominees out of five, the prediction is flagged indicative. Session-musician categories carry no streaming signal at all, so we publish the nominees and predict nothing.
8 of 12 categories currently reach full-confidence coverage. Nominees sourced from the CMA announcement of September 10, 2026 — see source. Found an error? tell us.
Nominees & predictions
Vote in every category — one vote per category, changeable until the ceremony.
Entertainer of the Year
Our data covers 100% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #1 · RLI 81.0 · 21 semaines mesurées
Signals: 5 M d'audience · meilleur rang #7 · RLI 53.7
Signals: 5,1 M d'audience · meilleur rang #7 · RLI 37.6 · 12 semaines mesurées
Signals: 2,3 M d'audience · meilleur rang #4 · RLI 52.0 · 2 semaines mesurées
Signals: 969 k d'audience · meilleur rang #27 · RLI 31.4
Female Vocalist of the Year
Our data covers 100% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #1 · RLI 81.0 · 21 semaines mesurées
Signals: 2,6 M d'audience · meilleur rang #5 · RLI 47.2 · 2 semaines mesurées
Signals: 2,3 M d'audience · meilleur rang #4 · RLI 52.0 · 2 semaines mesurées
Signals: 12 k d'audience
Signals: 78 k d'audience
Male Vocalist of the Year
Our data covers 80% of the nominees
Signals: 5 M d'audience · meilleur rang #7 · RLI 53.7
Signals: 5,1 M d'audience · meilleur rang #7 · RLI 37.6 · 12 semaines mesurées
Signals: 2,8 M d'audience · meilleur rang #17 · RLI 30.4 · 3 semaines mesurées
Signals: 969 k d'audience · meilleur rang #27 · RLI 31.4
Vocal Group of the Year
Our data covers 80% of the nominees
Signals: 228 k d'audience · RLI 13.9
Signals: 610 k d'audience
Signals: 38 k d'audience
Signals: 12 k d'audience
Vocal Duo of the Year
Our data covers 60% of the nominees
Signals: 200 k d'audience · meilleur rang #29 · RLI 29.6
Signals: 12 k d'audience
Signals: 366 d'audience
New Artist of the Year
Our data covers 60% of the nominees
Signals: 2,8 M d'audience · meilleur rang #17 · RLI 30.4 · 3 semaines mesurées
Signals: 83 k d'audience · meilleur rang #21 · RLI 35.3
Signals: 1,7 k d'audience
Album of the Year
Our data covers 60% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · RLI 2.5
Signals: 5,1 M d'audience
Signals: 78 k d'audience
Song of the Year
Our data covers 100% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #1 · RLI 81.0 · 8 semaines mesurées
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #4 · RLI 65.4 · 7 semaines mesurées
Signals: 12 k d'audience
Signals: 78 k d'audience
Signals: 2,8 M d'audience
Single of the Year
Our data covers 100% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #1 · RLI 81.0 · 8 semaines mesurées
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #4 · RLI 65.4 · 7 semaines mesurées
Signals: 7,9 M d'audience · RLI 5.9
Signals: 2,3 M d'audience
Signals: 969 k d'audience
Musical Event of the Year
Our data covers 80% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience
Signals: 2,6 M d'audience
Signals: 78 k d'audience
Signals: 40 k d'audience
Music Video of the Year
Our data covers 100% of the nominees
Signals: 32 M d'audience · meilleur rang #1 · RLI 81.0 · 8 semaines mesurées
Signals: 78 k d'audience
Signals: 2,8 M d'audience
Signals: 969 k d'audience
Signals: 5 M d'audience
Musician of the Year
Press & industry
Our predictions are published before the ceremony and archived afterwards, so our accuracy is a matter of public record rather than a claim. Free to cite with attribution. For credentials, interviews or a data partnership around the event, get in touch.